The Head and Shoulders Trading Strategy

The Head and Shoulders Trading Strategy

In technical analysis, the head and shoulders chart pattern is a well-known and simple-to-spot pattern that displays a baseline with three peaks, the middle peak being the highest.

A bullish-to-bearish trend reversal is shown on the head and shoulders chart, which also indicates that an upward trend is about to come to an end. 

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All traders and investors can use the pattern because it is present on all time periods.

Due to the chart pattern's provision of crucial and plainly discernible levels, the formation's entry levels, stop levels, and price goals are simple to implement.

Why Head and Shoulders Pattern Is Effective?

No pattern is flawless, and it doesn't always work. However, the chart pattern theoretically holds true for a number of reasons (the market top will be utilized in this justification, but it holds true for both):

Less aggressive buying is occurring as prices decline from the market high (head). Sellers have also started to enter the market.
 

As the neckline gets closer, many investors who bought during the penultimate wave higher or during the right shoulder rally are now facing significant losses since they were mistaken; as a result, they will now sell their positions, which will push the price in the direction of the profit objective.

The right shoulder is a lower high than the head, thus the stop above it makes sense because the trend has switched downward and the right shoulder is unlikely to be broken until an uptrend returns.

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The profit goal is based on the idea that individuals who made mistakes or bought the security at a bad moment will be forced to sell, which will lead to a reversal that is comparable in size to the recently formed topping pattern.

Many traders will start to feel pain at the neckline and will be compelled to close out positions, which will drive the price in the direction of the price objective.
 

You can also observe volume. We would prefer the volume to increase as a breakout takes place during inverse head and shoulders formations (market bottoms).

The price will move closer to the objective as a result of the increased buying activity. Volume is declining, which indicates a lack of enthusiasm for the upward advance and calls for some skepticism.

Advantages 

  • It is easily recognized by experienced traders.
     
  • Stop distance, entry levels, and confirmation openings and closings can all be precisely defined.
     
  • A market might move dramatically from the entrance price to the close price since a head and shoulders pattern has a pretty extended period.
     
  • The pattern is applicable to all markets, including stock and FX trading.

Disadvantages 

  • Novice traders may overlook it: It's possible for the head and shoulders pattern to appear without a flat neckline; this can confuse novice traders.
     
  • Large stop distances are achievable if there is a significant downhill movement over a prolonged period of time.
     
  • If the price pulls back, the neckline might be retested, which could confuse some traders, the neckline can look to move.
     

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